Gangreen energy act

Lawrence Solomon
FP Comment
March 7, 2009

Ontario’s Green Energy Act should more accurately be called Ontario’s Gangreen Act.

No piece of legislation in memory will do more to simultaneously undermine Ontario’s economy and environment. This one act rolls back decades of environmental gains in the energy sphere and opens the door to a future of environmental outrages.

All forms of energy supply have environmental drawbacks, including the much touted renewables; hydro dams can damage river ecosystems, solar arrays can consume large amounts of land, wind farms kill birds and bats. The environmental drawbacks are then compounded by the need to deliver the energy to market over great distances; underground pipeline construction for oil and gas does mostly temporary harm and transmission towers for electricity leave permanent blights. For such reasons, the traditional energy preference of environmentalists has been conservation, by far the most benign of all the energy alternatives.

Two other factors make conservation or energy efficiency, as conservation is also known, a hands-down winner: The untapped potential for savings remains phenomenally large and these savings can be had at low cost, if only governments allowed conservation technologies to compete on a level playing field against their energy supplying and energy consuming competitors. Because governments have steadily been removing subsidies as part of the economic liberalization that has gone on over the last few decades – tar sands plants, mega dams, nuclear plants and the automobile are among the many that saw their government favours erode – conservation has made steady gains.

The Green Act undermines the advance of conservation by making renewable energy, particularly wind power, the enemy of conservation.

Under Ontario’s Green Act, energy developers are entitled to build wind farms without need to consider whether a conservation technology alternative could do the job at less cost. The subsidy to wind development companies is so high, in fact, that Ontario consumers will be forced by law to pay these developers up to three times as much per kilowatt-hour as they do for other forms of energy. This direct state-sanctioned gouging of electricity consumers will then be augmented by the indirect gouging of consumers.

The Green Act allows wind developers to stake out the province, including remote parts of the province, and demand that the power from their wind turbines be transported to distant markets via massive transmission corridors all at public expense. In the past, environmentalists have rallied to stop uneconomic long-distance transmission corridors, aided by the many affected communities. These corridors slice through rich farm belts, pristine forests and wilderness areas, cottage country, rural communities and finally urban centres, creating grievances along their entire path.

In future, such opposition from affected communities will be knee-capped, partly because the Green Act denies communities their long-standing rights to public participation in projects that affect their local environments, partly because many environmentalists have switched sides in opposing transmission towers. To further worsen the odds that local communities now face, corporate lobbies in the renewable energy business, many of them multinationals, back both the environmentalists and the government, and fund both too.

The environmentalists are content with this bargain, unmoved by those whose properties will be expropriated. Or by those who live adjacent to the transmission corridor, whose quality of life will be devalued by their unsightly new neighbour. Or by those who work in the eco-tourism business or other industries that depend on unspoiled nature. They argue that these costs are necessary for the greater good. (The environmentalists may be less content in future – this precedent that they’ve created can just as easily be applied to squelch the public’s rights in opposing the siting of a nuclear or coal plant, or any other project that environmentalists might oppose.)

Environmentalists will argue that the Green Act is good for conservation, because of the acts provisions for home energy audits and utility conservation targets. In fact, the Green Act has put conservation in a box, capping its potential to the trickle that will come of a few high-profile sectors, for which government conservation programs can be devised. Meanwhile, the gushers of potential conservation in the greater economy – virtually every product and service involves the consumption of energy – are left to languish. The only way to encourage across the board energy conservation, and obtain the massive reductions in energy consumption that are economically justified, is to stop subsidizing energy in all its forms and force society to face the true cost of energy.

Even the energy savings from the government’s targeted conservation programs are likely to backfire and actually spur wasteful consumption – this is the sorry history of government-mandated conservation programs. And to complete the wrong-headedness of the Green Act, its chief objective, the replacement of fossil fuel use with renewables, will fail miserably. Because the wind doesnt always blow and the sun doesn’t always shine, every kilowatt of wind capacity that is built in some remote part of the province will need to be backed up by almost as much fossil fuel power.

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The dirty truth

Lawrence Solomon
National Post
February 20, 2009

During President Barack Obama’s visit to Canada this week, he and Prime Minister Stephen Harper pledged to spend billions developing technologies that would capture carbon and then store it underground.

Carbon capture and storage, as these schemes are known, is misguided environmentally, economically, and in the long term, politically too. Carbon capture has only one virtue: It solves short-term political problems for both leaders.

Harper has an overarching aim in funding carbon capture – the continuing development of the Alberta tar sands. Environmentalists castigate oil from tar sands as “dirty oil” for one reason above all: Tar sands oil generates more carbon dioxide than does oil from conventional sources. With carbon capture technology promising to counter much of the greenhouse gas associated with tar sands development, Harper can neutralize the main opposition to more tar sands projects.As a bonus, he will be fulfilling a campaign promise to address global warming.

Obama has two aims in funding carbon capture. For one thing, he needs oil from Canada’s tar sands to fulfill his campaign promise of weaning the U.S. off Middle-Eastern oil; for another, as this week’s U.S.-Canada Clean Energy Dialogue makes clear, he wants to exploit America’s vast coal reserves, both for their economic benefits and to promote U.S. energy independence, another campaign promise.

Carbon capture and storage, however, is not as green as it seems – underground burial of carbon dioxide presents immense new risks to society. If the carbon dioxide is stored in deep ocean masses, as sometimes proposed, environmentalists fear that ocean acidification could devastate marine eco-systems. If the carbon dioxide is stored in geologic formations near fossil fuel plants, as is more commonly proposed, the harmful effects would directly affect human life: Research at Columbia University by one of the world’s leading geohazard scientists ranks carbon storage as one of the five top coming causes of man-induced earthquakes, a prediction all the more scary because the earthquakes would tend to occur near the fossil fuel plants, and population centres. In another potential danger, some fret about the consequences of an accidental release of carbon dioxide from underground storage facilities. In Cameroon in 1986, 1,800 people died after an unexplained release of carbon dioxide from beneath Lake Nyos, which has deep stores of carbon dioxide beneath its bottom.

Apart from these unknown future risks of stuffing carbon dioxide underground, carbon capture technologies are chock-a-block with known problems, all stemming from the fact that these technologies are, in the parlance of environmentalists, energy pigs. As one example, a typical coal plant employing carbon capture technology requires between 24% and 50% more energy for every kilowatt-hour produced.

At this level of resource gluttony, the world’s store of non-renewable fossil fuels would be consumed at a fast clip wherever carbon capture technology was applied. Worse, other pollutants that environmentalists have long fought would also increase. The “clean coal” plants that President Obama touts would produce one-third more in nitrous oxides, a major contributor to smog. Likewise, carbon capture technology applied to tar sands plants would mean that additional tar sands plants would need to be developed just to run the tar sands carbon capture facilities.

Ironically, carbon capture technology would not only worsen air quality and more rapidly scar the tar sands landscape, it may also harm the global environment if it is successful in its goal of reducing carbon dioxide emissions. Carbon dioxide stimulates plant growth and leads to a greening of the planet. In fact, satellite measurements now show the planet to be the greenest in decades. Little wonder that, in surveys of scientists, the great majority view carbon dioxide as a beneficial gas that’s indispensable to plant growth, and insignificant to any deleterious global warming.

To add to the irony, even if carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas that plays a significant role in warming the planet, there may be good reason to encourage its release into the atmosphere. A decade ago, the planet stopped warming and a year ago, global temperatures began to decline markedly. If, as many scientists now speculate, Earth could be entering a new Little Ice Age, carbon dioxide emissions and other greenhouse gases could mitigate the hardship that would come with a cooling planet.

The environmental drawbacks in carbon capture also spell economic trouble. The complexity of the technology, and its energy inefficiency, translate into high prices. Estimates from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change show customers should be prepared to pay as much as 50% to 70% more for their power. With cost penalties on that scale, industries will leave carbon capture jurisdictions for less punitive climes, and captive consumers will rebel.

At heart, what politicians and the public most want is clean energy and a clean environment. Rather than sinking billions into carbon capture schemes likely to do nothing but damage the environment and the economy, Obama and Harper should target true environmental hazards such as the mercury, NOX and SOX in coal, the air and water emissions associated with tar sands. And they should come clean with the public over carbon dioxide, and admit that too little worrisome is known about its risks to start burying it, and too much worrisome is known about the risks of burying it.

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The best in news

Lawrence Solomon
National Post
January 10, 2009

My day usually begins and ends watching BBC World News. Along the way, I generally catch both CBC and CTV news, and CNN and MSNBC, too. I commend these all to you, but I especially commend the gold standard in television news and commentary, the one TV channel indispensable to obtaining an understanding of the events of the day: FOX News.

If you don’t watch FOX News Channel regularly, this advice may surprise you. Most people I know can’t refer to FOX without sneering. Outstanding journalists including the National Post’s own Robert Fulford have lambasted FOX. Democratic presidential candidates spent most of the presidential race boycotting FOX. During his campaign, Barack Obama repeatedly dissed FOX, and in particular Sean Hannity, the co-host of the No. 2 rated show in cable news, Hannity and Colmes.

I can understand none of these critics, aside from Obama, who had good reason to go after Hannity. No one was more partisan or more relentless in attacking Obama, or more effective. Hannity was the one who first broke the story about Obama’s inflammatory pastor, Reverend Jeremiah Wright, and when the rest of the media studiously ignored the story, Hannity repeated his Wright attack ad nauseum. It ultimately became a major controversy in the presidential campaign, forcing Obama to explain himself to the voters.

Does the presence of pit-bull Hannity, also one of the biggest names in conservative talk radio, discredit FOX’s claim to be “Fair and Balanced?” Not to anyone who has seen the “Colmes” of Hannity and Colmes in action. Co-host Alan Colmes, one of the most popular hosts in liberal talk radio, is every bit as tough and partisan as Hannity.

FOX’s Bill O’Reilly, the boisterous and opinionated host of The O’Reilly Factor, is even more reviled than Hannity. But those who identify O’Reilly as a knee-jerk conservative have come to knee-jerk conclusions of their own. O’Reilly does not pigeon-hole easily. He campaigns against greed on Wall Street. He especially campaigns against Big Oil, believing the oil majors manipulate supply to gouge consumers. He wants government to be pro-active on the environment, calling people who deny global warming “idiots.”

Watch him and you will come to realize why his show has been rated No. 1 in cable news for 97 consecutive months now. He is a gifted questioner, deceptively so because of his unslick, working class demeanour. I’ve never seen him ask a gotcha question. To the contrary, rather than try to trip up a guest, he often frames questions by restating his guest’s views, a technique that gives guests a jumping off point from which they can elaborate their views, rather than merely restating them themselves.

Who watches O’Reilly? According to Pew Research Center, his viewers are the most knowledgeable on the air, only 17% of them considered to have a low knowledge level. By comparison, Pew found that the audience of Newshour with Jim Lehrer, the high-brow flagship news show at PBS, had 28% with low knowledge levels.

FOX not only has the No. 1 and No. 2 shows in cable news, it has the No. 3 show and 12 of the top 15 shows, making it far and away the most popular news channel, a position it has held for seven years now. FOX dominates not because it appeals to those on the political right – only 38% of FOX viewers consider themselves Republicans – but because it appeals to people across the political spectrum. More people who identify themselves as Democrats watch FOX than watch CNN, the No. 2 news channel. In fact, FOX’s non-conservative viewership exceeds CNN’s entire viewership.

But good as the rough and tumble opinion shows are, I even more appreciate those at FOX that present calm analysis. The FOX formula – to always provide balance via hosts and/or guests with competing viewpoints – attracts high-calibre analysts of the left and right who are willing and able to civilly challenge each other. The upshot for the viewer: superior information due to a wider exposure to expert opinion.

To take a current example, only recently have mainstream journalists in goodly numbers begun to question the rash of stimulus packages that began with President Bush’s $700-billion bailout package of September; FOX viewers were immediately and consistently exposed to informed scepticism. A second example: FOX viewers knew that the Surge in Iraq was working weeks if not months ahead of those of rival networks. A third: Only FOX did not skew its presidential reportage in favour of Obama, according to Pew, which found that only FOX treated both John Mc-Cain and Barack Obama similarly.

In another measure of FOX’s objectivity, of all the debates that occurred in the presidential primaries, FOX’s hosting of the Republican primary debate is generally seen to have posed the toughest and smartest questions. And in yet another, FOX analyst Scott Rasmussen, a pollster with a remarkable record for accuracy, was bang-on in forecasting a 52% to 46% win for Obama. The FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll proved almost as impressive, coming to within one point in predicting the margin of victory. In contrast, polls from media outlets with an axe to grind, such as the CBS/New York Times and Newsweek, gave Obama an 11 and 12 point margin of victory.

My advice to FOX’s critics: Try it before you slam it. You will soon learn what the other networks don’t report. And you can then decide to watch FOX or not, in a fair and balanced way.

Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Energy Probe and Urban Renaissance Institute and author of The Deniers.

 

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The best in news

Lawrence Solomon
National Post
January 10, 2009

My day usually begins and ends watching BBC World News. Along the way, I generally catch both CBC and CTV news, and CNN and MSNBC, too. I commend these all to you, but I especially commend the gold standard in television news and commentary, the one TV channel indispensable to obtaining an understanding of the events of the day: FOX News.

If you don’t watch FOX News Channel regularly, this advice may surprise you. Most people I know can’t refer to FOX without sneering. Outstanding journalists including the National Post’s own Robert Fulford have lambasted FOX. Democratic presidential candidates spent most of the presidential race boycotting FOX. During his campaign, Barack Obama repeatedly dissed FOX, and in particular Sean Hannity, the co-host of the No. 2 rated show in cable news, Hannity and Colmes.

I can understand none of these critics, aside from Obama, who had good reason to go after Hannity. No one was more partisan or more relentless in attacking Obama, or more effective. Hannity was the one who first broke the story about Obama’s inflammatory pastor, Reverend Jeremiah Wright, and when the rest of the media studiously ignored the story, Hannity repeated his Wright attack ad nauseum. It ultimately became a major controversy in the presidential campaign, forcing Obama to explain himself to the voters.

Does the presence of pit-bull Hannity, also one of the biggest names in conservative talk radio, discredit FOX’s claim to be “Fair and Balanced?” Not to anyone who has seen the “Colmes” of Hannity and Colmes in action. Co-host Alan Colmes, one of the most popular hosts in liberal talk radio, is every bit as tough and partisan as Hannity.

FOX’s Bill O’Reilly, the boisterous and opinionated host of The O’Reilly Factor, is even more reviled than Hannity. But those who identify O’Reilly as a knee-jerk conservative have come to knee-jerk conclusions of their own. O’Reilly does not pigeon-hole easily. He campaigns against greed on Wall Street. He especially campaigns against Big Oil, believing the oil majors manipulate supply to gouge consumers. He wants government to be pro-active on the environment, calling people who deny global warming “idiots.”

Watch him and you will come to realize why his show has been rated No. 1 in cable news for 97 consecutive months now. He is a gifted questioner, deceptively so because of his unslick, working class demeanour. I’ve never seen him ask a gotcha question. To the contrary, rather than try to trip up a guest, he often frames questions by restating his guest’s views, a technique that gives guests a jumping off point from which they can elaborate their views, rather than merely restating them themselves.

Who watches O’Reilly? According to Pew Research Center, his viewers are the most knowledgeable on the air, only 17% of them considered to have a low knowledge level. By comparison, Pew found that the audience of Newshour with Jim Lehrer, the high-brow flagship news show at PBS, had 28% with low knowledge levels.

FOX not only has the No. 1 and No. 2 shows in cable news, it has the No. 3 show and 12 of the top 15 shows, making it far and away the most popular news channel, a position it has held for seven years now. FOX dominates not because it appeals to those on the political right – only 38% of FOX viewers consider themselves Republicans – but because it appeals to people across the political spectrum. More people who identify themselves as Democrats watch FOX than watch CNN, the No. 2 news channel. In fact, FOX’s non-conservative viewership exceeds CNN’s entire viewership.

But good as the rough and tumble opinion shows are, I even more appreciate those at FOX that present calm analysis. The FOX formula – to always provide balance via hosts and/or guests with competing viewpoints – attracts high-calibre analysts of the left and right who are willing and able to civilly challenge each other. The upshot for the viewer: superior information due to a wider exposure to expert opinion.

To take a current example, only recently have mainstream journalists in goodly numbers begun to question the rash of stimulus packages that began with President Bush’s $700-billion bailout package of September; FOX viewers were immediately and consistently exposed to informed scepticism. A second example: FOX viewers knew that the Surge in Iraq was working weeks if not months ahead of those of rival networks. A third: Only FOX did not skew its presidential reportage in favour of Obama, according to Pew, which found that only FOX treated both John Mc-Cain and Barack Obama similarly.

In another measure of FOX’s objectivity, of all the debates that occurred in the presidential primaries, FOX’s hosting of the Republican primary debate is generally seen to have posed the toughest and smartest questions. And in yet another, FOX analyst Scott Rasmussen, a pollster with a remarkable record for accuracy, was bang-on in forecasting a 52% to 46% win for Obama. The FOX News/Opinion Dynamics Poll proved almost as impressive, coming to within one point in predicting the margin of victory. In contrast, polls from media outlets with an axe to grind, such as the CBS/New York Times and Newsweek, gave Obama an 11 and 12 point margin of victory.

My advice to FOX’s critics: Try it before you slam it. You will soon learn what the other networks don’t report. And you can then decide to watch FOX or not, in a fair and balanced way.

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Good tolls, bad tolls

Lawrence Solomon
FP comment
November 28, 2008

The Greater Toronto Area needs a gazillion dollars to fund Metrolinx, a mega mega transportation system of light rail, commuter trains, subways, highways, roads, and bicycle paths designed to reach every ward in an 8,000 square kilometre operating region approaching six million people. It will cost more than governments can afford, say its government backers.

The answer, the backers say, is a toll road system that extends across the GTA and finances the transit megaproject.

I have a better idea. Install the GTA-wide toll road system and scrap Metrolinx. Once roads are tolled, the population growth that is now projected for Toronto’s environs — the main driver for Metrolinx — will plummet, along with the need for new transit infrastructure.The monies raised in tolls from the GTA’s more stable population can then be returned to GTA residents — the owners of the roads — through lower property taxes, lower gas taxes and lower vehicle registration fees.

Toll road systems work, as proven in numerous jurisdictions around the world. They reduce or eliminate traffic congestion which in turn lowers travel times, which in turn lowers the cost of taking a cab or of running a bus, which in turn increases these vehicles market share, which in turn increases their financial viability, which in turn helps taxi, bus, subway and streetcar systems expand, which in turn lets public transit provide better service, which in turn makes people less dependent on cars.

This virtuous circle spills off road, too: Tolled areas suffer fewer accidents, leading to fewer hospital visits and lower automobile insurance costs; they reduce air pollution, benefitting pedestrians and drivers alike. Little wonder that toll road systems with integrity — those designed to recover costs through user fees rather than to fill government coffers or fund pet projects — tend to find favour with the public. Stockholm’s population decided by referendum to keep its road toll system after a six-month trial; London voted in a mayor who campaigned on the promise to introduce a toll road system. Governments worldwide are now working to introduce toll road systems, knowing that voter reaction tends to be favourable.

GTA transportation planners are going about everything backwards. Instead of building toll roads on their own merits, and building transit facilities only where needed to handle the extra transit business that comes from people switching away from their private automobiles, GTA planners start with their megalomaniacal transit schemes and then tack on toll roads as a funding mechanism.

Public transit systems are boons to society, efficient people movers that are indispensable to a well functioning economy — when there are people to move. Without people in sufficient numbers — as in predominantly suburban and rural GTA — transit systems become societal drags, their near-empty vehicles doing harm to the environment as well as the economy. When put to such uses, public transit cripples cities, creates sprawl, and ultimately undermines the province as a whole.

Prior to the creation of Metropolitan Toronto in 1953, the city of Toronto had an exemplary public transit system in its Toronto Transportation Commission, all of its routes money makers. Once Metro Toronto came into being, the TTC’s political masters required it to service the low density suburban areas in Metropolitan Toronto. In this it succeeded — by running near empty buses along suburban routes on a frequent schedule, the TTC made suburban life feasible, leading to the population of the rural areas outside the city limits. This suburban sprawl came at a cost to the environment, and to the city as well — to cover the losses on its money-losing routes outside the city, the TTC starved city routes of services, ultimately turning off customers. In the end, virtually all TTC routes, whether in the city or the suburb, became money losers, to the economic harm of all.

This scenario is about to be repeated by the GTA and Metrolinx, a 21st century counterpart to Metro Toronto and the TTC. By extending transit services to areas that cannot support transit on their own, the Toronto region is embarking on another round of uneconomic development that will see its rural areas and prime farmland paved over at a loss.

The city of Toronto and the province of Ontario face new hardship as well, as spelled out in a recent report from TD Economics. Because the property tax system already provides incentives for companies to move jobs out of the city core, TD explains, a subsidized Metrolinx “would inevitably exacerbate sprawl and the negative externalities it inflicts by making it more convenient for people and companies to locate further away from Toronto.” The TD report is written in the context of “where the Ontario economy will be in 2020. Will it continue to wither? Or, will Ontario manage to regain the kind of dominant economic presence that bestowed abundant benefits to residents in past decades?”

Rather than Ontario withering, Metrolinx should.

Lawrence Solomon is executive director of Urban Renaissance Institute, and author of The Deniers: The world-renowned scientists who stood up against global warming hysteria, political persecution, and fraud.

Posted in Public transit, Toll roads | Leave a comment